Consensus forecasts from National Weather Service and private models position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 31, with trader-implied odds at 57.5% reflecting stable upper-90s readings under persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds. Multiple sources issued August 30 project daytime maxima in the upper 90s with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology where August 31 averages 94.6°F but recent patterns favor above-normal heat. The 100-101°F bin at 28.5% captures upside potential if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain marginal absent a stronger frontal passage or increased moisture. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any forecast shifts before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
89°F或以下
$60 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$88 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$229 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$97 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$415 交易量
9%
98-99°F
$1,679 交易量
57%
100-101°F
$590 交易量
29%
102-103°F
$511 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$133 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$140 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from National Weather Service and private models position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 31, with trader-implied odds at 57.5% reflecting stable upper-90s readings under persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds. Multiple sources issued August 30 project daytime maxima in the upper 90s with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology where August 31 averages 94.6°F but recent patterns favor above-normal heat. The 100-101°F bin at 28.5% captures upside potential if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain marginal absent a stronger frontal passage or increased moisture. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any forecast shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,081结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from National Weather Service and private models position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 31, with trader-implied odds at 57.5% reflecting stable upper-90s readings under persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds. Multiple sources issued August 30 project daytime maxima in the upper 90s with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology where August 31 averages 94.6°F but recent patterns favor above-normal heat. The 100-101°F bin at 28.5% captures upside potential if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain marginal absent a stronger frontal passage or increased moisture. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any forecast shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,081结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETConsensus forecasts from National Weather Service and private models position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 31, with trader-implied odds at 57.5% reflecting stable upper-90s readings under persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds. Multiple sources issued August 30 project daytime maxima in the upper 90s with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology where August 31 averages 94.6°F but recent patterns favor above-normal heat. The 100-101°F bin at 28.5% captures upside potential if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain marginal absent a stronger frontal passage or increased moisture. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any forecast shifts before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题