Persistent late-summer high pressure and clear skies are sustaining hot, dry conditions across central Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a high near 99°F in Austin under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus from multiple sources clusters between 97–100°F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on the 98–99°F bin (67%) and secondary support for 100–101°F (29%). Recent days of 98–103°F readings have reinforced trader expectations of another upper-90s peak, while the absence of stronger winds, increased humidity, or incoming fronts limits upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated afternoon observations and any last model runs could still nudge the final maximum within the narrow 96–101°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月30日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 5%
94-95°F 1.1%
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
2026-08-30
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
67%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 5%
94-95°F 1.1%
$12,951 交易量
$12,951 交易量
2026-08-30
89°F或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$230 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$145 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$461 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$1,020 交易量
5%
98-99°F
$7,465 交易量
67%
100-101°F
$2,326 交易量
29%
102-103°F
$578 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$294 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$150 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer high pressure and clear skies are sustaining hot, dry conditions across central Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a high near 99°F in Austin under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus from multiple sources clusters between 97–100°F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on the 98–99°F bin (67%) and secondary support for 100–101°F (29%). Recent days of 98–103°F readings have reinforced trader expectations of another upper-90s peak, while the absence of stronger winds, increased humidity, or incoming fronts limits upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated afternoon observations and any last model runs could still nudge the final maximum within the narrow 96–101°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,951结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-summer high pressure and clear skies are sustaining hot, dry conditions across central Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a high near 99°F in Austin under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus from multiple sources clusters between 97–100°F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on the 98–99°F bin (67%) and secondary support for 100–101°F (29%). Recent days of 98–103°F readings have reinforced trader expectations of another upper-90s peak, while the absence of stronger winds, increased humidity, or incoming fronts limits upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated afternoon observations and any last model runs could still nudge the final maximum within the narrow 96–101°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,951结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETPersistent late-summer high pressure and clear skies are sustaining hot, dry conditions across central Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a high near 99°F in Austin under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus from multiple sources clusters between 97–100°F, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on the 98–99°F bin (67%) and secondary support for 100–101°F (29%). Recent days of 98–103°F readings have reinforced trader expectations of another upper-90s peak, while the absence of stronger winds, increased humidity, or incoming fronts limits upside risk beyond 101°F. Updated afternoon observations and any last model runs could still nudge the final maximum within the narrow 96–101°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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