Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
19°C或更高 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 42%
11°C 35%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
8%
11°C
35%
12°C
42%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
65%
19°C或更高 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 42%
11°C 35%
9°C or below
34%
10°C
8%
11°C
35%
12°C
42%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
34%
16°C
10%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 25 likely settling near 12–13°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 14°C, with recent hot spells earlier in the month giving way to cooler, showery conditions that have pulled overnight readings down. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (44.5%) and 13°C (43.5%) because small differences in forecast timing of any Atlantic front or wind shift can shift the low by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect the limited chance of stronger cooling under clearer skies. Updated runs from national meteorological services expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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