President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,414 交易量
2026-12-31
9月30日
1%
10月31日
2%
11月30日
7%
12月31日
5%
$14,414 交易量
9月30日
$6,660 交易量
1%
10月31日
$5,143 交易量
2%
11月30日
$1,041 交易量
7%
12月31日
$1,570 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$14,414结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$14,414结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETPresident Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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