In the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, with other candidates trailing substantially. Zanetti has held the seat since 2018 amid shifting provincial dynamics, while recent polling aggregates and projections show the two parties running neck-and-neck locally, consistent with PQ momentum in several ridings and QS retention of urban support in the Capitale-Nationale region. The outcome hinges on voter turnout among key blocs, late-campaign positioning by the main parties, and any riding-specific developments before the September 17 nomination deadline or election day. Separation could emerge from stronger-than-expected provincial polling shifts or targeted ground efforts by either frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于索尔·扎内蒂 45%
克洛德·维伦纽夫 16%
娜塔莉·圣皮埃尔 6%
盖特鲁德·布尔东 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
索尔·扎内蒂
53%
克洛德·维伦纽夫
16%
娜塔莉·圣皮埃尔
6%
盖特鲁德·布尔东
1%
南希·乔安妮特
<1%
索尔·扎内蒂 45%
克洛德·维伦纽夫 16%
娜塔莉·圣皮埃尔 6%
盖特鲁德·布尔东 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
索尔·扎内蒂
$659 交易量
53%
克洛德·维伦纽夫
$1,274 交易量
16%
娜塔莉·圣皮埃尔
$896 交易量
6%
盖特鲁德·布尔东
$598 交易量
1%
南希·乔安妮特
$613 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, with other candidates trailing substantially. Zanetti has held the seat since 2018 amid shifting provincial dynamics, while recent polling aggregates and projections show the two parties running neck-and-neck locally, consistent with PQ momentum in several ridings and QS retention of urban support in the Capitale-Nationale region. The outcome hinges on voter turnout among key blocs, late-campaign positioning by the main parties, and any riding-specific developments before the September 17 nomination deadline or election day. Separation could emerge from stronger-than-expected provincial polling shifts or targeted ground efforts by either frontrunner.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$4,040结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, with other candidates trailing substantially. Zanetti has held the seat since 2018 amid shifting provincial dynamics, while recent polling aggregates and projections show the two parties running neck-and-neck locally, consistent with PQ momentum in several ridings and QS retention of urban support in the Capitale-Nationale region. The outcome hinges on voter turnout among key blocs, late-campaign positioning by the main parties, and any riding-specific developments before the September 17 nomination deadline or election day. Separation could emerge from stronger-than-expected provincial polling shifts or targeted ground efforts by either frontrunner.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$4,040结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETIn the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti Québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve, with other candidates trailing substantially. Zanetti has held the seat since 2018 amid shifting provincial dynamics, while recent polling aggregates and projections show the two parties running neck-and-neck locally, consistent with PQ momentum in several ridings and QS retention of urban support in the Capitale-Nationale region. The outcome hinges on voter turnout among key blocs, late-campaign positioning by the main parties, and any riding-specific developments before the September 17 nomination deadline or election day. Separation could emerge from stronger-than-expected provincial polling shifts or targeted ground efforts by either frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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