The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哈维·伦农 33%
比尔·哈维 17%
Ryan Posselt 15%
Louise Bloomfield 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
哈维·伦农
33%
比尔·哈维
17%
Ryan Posselt
15%
Louise Bloomfield
13%
迈克·达塔
12%
Marti Zucco
12%
约翰·凯利
46%
哈维·伦农 33%
比尔·哈维 17%
Ryan Posselt 15%
Louise Bloomfield 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
哈维·伦农
$0 交易量
33%
比尔·哈维
$0 交易量
17%
Ryan Posselt
$23 交易量
15%
Louise Bloomfield
$0 交易量
13%
迈克·达塔
$0 交易量
12%
Marti Zucco
$20 交易量
12%
约翰·凯利
$50 交易量
46%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
交易量
$93结束日期
2026-10-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$93结束日期
2026-10-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ETThe open Hobart Lord Mayor contest for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remains fragmented, with trader pricing reflecting a tight multi-candidate field following incumbent Anna Reynolds’ decision not to recontest. Recent entry by sitting councillor John Kelly has added to the group of declared contenders that includes fellow councillors Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Ryan Posselt, and Marti Zucco, plus former executive Harvey Lennon. Single transferable voting and the absence of an established frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s percent range for the leading names. Further separation could emerge from candidate forums, preference negotiations among independents, or shifts in local priorities such as transport infrastructure and council leadership stability once formal nominations open on September 7.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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