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icon for 马丁市长选举获胜者

马丁市长选举获胜者

icon for 马丁市长选举获胜者

马丁市长选举获胜者

马雷克·贝拉克 26%

约泽夫·彼得拉什 24%

帕沃尔·泽姆科 18%

伊戈尔·胡巴切克 5%

Polymarket
最新

马雷克·贝拉克 26%

约泽夫·彼得拉什 24%

帕沃尔·泽姆科 18%

伊戈尔·胡巴切克 5%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 马雷克·贝拉克

马雷克·贝拉克

$71 交易量

26%

icon for 约泽夫·彼得拉什

约泽夫·彼得拉什

$51 交易量

24%

icon for 帕沃尔·泽姆科

帕沃尔·泽姆科

$71 交易量

18%

icon for 伊戈尔·胡巴切克

伊戈尔·胡巴切克

$55 交易量

19%

icon for 雷纳塔·哈布鲁诺娃

雷纳塔·哈布鲁诺娃

$106 交易量

17%

icon for 米兰·弗托雷克

米兰·弗托雷克

$35 交易量

22%

icon for 扬·丹科

扬·丹科

$35 交易量

21%

icon for Matej Turzo

Matej Turzo

$82 交易量

24%

icon for 米哈尔·乌赫尔奇克

米哈尔·乌赫尔奇克

$30 交易量

21%

The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).**The Martin mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24, 2026, communal elections, with incumbent Ján Danko facing a broad field that includes opposition-backed Michal Uherčík and several independents.** Multiple candidates at comparable implied probabilities reflect a fragmented field and the absence of decisive polling or major late-campaign catalysts. Danko, seeking a third term after winning narrowly in 2022 with 25.8% against Uherčík’s 20.8%, benefits from incumbency and ongoing projects such as infrastructure upgrades and fiscal stabilization. Uherčík’s cross-party coalition (including SaS, PS, KDH and others) aims to consolidate anti-incumbent votes, while additional entrants like Milan Ftorek, Igor Hubáček and Renáta Habrunová further split support. Separation is most likely to emerge from voter turnout patterns, any consolidation or withdrawals among challengers, or visible progress on local priorities such as housing, employment and transport in the final weeks.

The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$535
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).**The Martin mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24, 2026, communal elections, with incumbent Ján Danko facing a broad field that includes opposition-backed Michal Uherčík and several independents.** Multiple candidates at comparable implied probabilities reflect a fragmented field and the absence of decisive polling or major late-campaign catalysts. Danko, seeking a third term after winning narrowly in 2022 with 25.8% against Uherčík’s 20.8%, benefits from incumbency and ongoing projects such as infrastructure upgrades and fiscal stabilization. Uherčík’s cross-party coalition (including SaS, PS, KDH and others) aims to consolidate anti-incumbent votes, while additional entrants like Milan Ftorek, Igor Hubáček and Renáta Habrunová further split support. Separation is most likely to emerge from voter turnout patterns, any consolidation or withdrawals among challengers, or visible progress on local priorities such as housing, employment and transport in the final weeks.

The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$535
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Martin mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Martin as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Martin, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"马丁市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马雷克·贝拉克",概率为 26%,其次是"Matej Turzo",概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 26¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 26%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"马丁市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"马丁市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马丁市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"马雷克·贝拉克",概率为 26%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 26%。紧随其后的结果是"Matej Turzo",概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马丁市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。