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icon for 班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者

班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者

icon for 班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者

班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者

黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃 46%

雅恩·诺斯科 45%

托马什·索博塔 28%

马图什·莫利托里斯 25%

Polymarket
最新

黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃 46%

雅恩·诺斯科 45%

托马什·索博塔 28%

马图什·莫利托里斯 25%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃

黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃

$0 交易量

46%

icon for 雅恩·诺斯科

雅恩·诺斯科

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 托马什·索博塔

托马什·索博塔

$0 交易量

28%

icon for 马图什·莫利托里斯

马图什·莫利托里斯

$0 交易量

25%

The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The mayoral race in Banská Bystrica remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24 vote because a mid-August Focus poll showed incumbent Ján Nosko (independent) at 38.3% and main challenger Diana Javorčíková (backed by Progresívne Slovensko, SaS, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko and OKS) at 36.7%, with Matúš Molitoris and Tomáš Sobota (KDH-supported) each near 12-13%. Candidate filings closed on August 25, confirming six entrants including Marian Kotleba and Ondrej Vereš, which sustains vote fragmentation among opposition-leaning blocs. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with Javorčíková and Nosko near parity and lower probabilities on the remaining names. Further separation could emerge from any late opposition coordination, shifts in turnout among urban or younger voters, or visible campaign momentum on local issues such as transport and housing.

The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The mayoral race in Banská Bystrica remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24 vote because a mid-August Focus poll showed incumbent Ján Nosko (independent) at 38.3% and main challenger Diana Javorčíková (backed by Progresívne Slovensko, SaS, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko and OKS) at 36.7%, with Matúš Molitoris and Tomáš Sobota (KDH-supported) each near 12-13%. Candidate filings closed on August 25, confirming six entrants including Marian Kotleba and Ondrej Vereš, which sustains vote fragmentation among opposition-leaning blocs. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with Javorčíková and Nosko near parity and lower probabilities on the remaining names. Further separation could emerge from any late opposition coordination, shifts in turnout among urban or younger voters, or visible campaign momentum on local issues such as transport and housing.

The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
The 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Banská Bystrica as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Banská Bystrica, Banská Bystrica Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

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常见问题

"班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃",概率为 46%,其次是"雅恩·诺斯科",概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者"的当前领先者是"黛安娜·雅沃奇科娃",概率为 46%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"雅恩·诺斯科",概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"班斯卡-比斯特里察市长选举胜利者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。