The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于迪伦·罗伯茨 18%
迈克尔·约翰斯通 12%
莉安妮·劳 12%
克洛伊·福斯特 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
迪伦·罗伯茨
18%
迈克尔·约翰斯通
12%
莉安妮·劳
12%
克洛伊·福斯特
13%
玛丽·杜尼亚姆
3%
凯文·海兰德
1%
迪伦·罗伯茨 18%
迈克尔·约翰斯通 12%
莉安妮·劳 12%
克洛伊·福斯特 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
迪伦·罗伯茨
$766 交易量
18%
迈克尔·约翰斯通
$1,048 交易量
12%
莉安妮·劳
$3,645 交易量
12%
克洛伊·福斯特
$1,203 交易量
13%
玛丽·杜尼亚姆
$717 交易量
3%
凯文·海兰德
$864 交易量
1%
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
交易量
$8,243结束日期
2026-10-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$8,243结束日期
2026-10-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ETThe open field created by incumbent mayor Mary Duniam’s retirement has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local figures, keeping trader consensus split across numerous options with no candidate exceeding low double-digit implied probabilities. Dillon Roberts, Leanne Raw and Michael Johnstone have each declared, while former mayor Kevin Hyland and Chloe Foster also feature among named contenders. Nominations remain open until late September, allowing further entrants that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 27 Tasmanian local government vote. Recent council debates over policy motions and budget priorities have highlighted competing records in local government experience but have not produced decisive endorsements or withdrawals capable of consolidating support. This structure leaves the outcome sensitive to any late declarations or ticket arrangements that could alter visibility before polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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