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icon for 在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?

在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?

icon for 在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?

在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?

少于50 72%

50–59 22%

80–89 5.0%

90–99 4.6%

Polymarket
最新

少于50 72%

50–59 22%

80–89 5.0%

90–99 4.6%

Polymarket
最新

少于50

$4,065 交易量

72%

50–59

$592 交易量

22%

60–69

$254 交易量

3%

70–79

$272 交易量

2%

80–89

$211 交易量

5%

90–99

$208 交易量

5%

100+

$279 交易量

3%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The market's heavy weighting toward fewer than 50 seats for the KPRF reflects the party's entrenched position as systemic opposition within Russia's tightly managed mixed electoral system, where United Russia is projected to dominate most of the 225 single-member districts. Recent state and independent polls ahead of the September 18–20 vote show KPRF list support in the 11–17% range, comparable to or below its 2021 result, with no sustained surge despite economic strains and war fatigue. Administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, reduced competition in districts, and pressure to limit strong challengers, further constrain gains. Other parliamentary parties such as LDPR and New People compete for similar voter segments, while the exclusion of non-systemic options like Yabloko reinforces the limited scope for KPRF expansion under current conditions.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$5,881
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The market's heavy weighting toward fewer than 50 seats for the KPRF reflects the party's entrenched position as systemic opposition within Russia's tightly managed mixed electoral system, where United Russia is projected to dominate most of the 225 single-member districts. Recent state and independent polls ahead of the September 18–20 vote show KPRF list support in the 11–17% range, comparable to or below its 2021 result, with no sustained surge despite economic strains and war fatigue. Administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, reduced competition in districts, and pressure to limit strong challengers, further constrain gains. Other parliamentary parties such as LDPR and New People compete for similar voter segments, while the exclusion of non-systemic options like Yabloko reinforces the limited scope for KPRF expansion under current conditions.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$5,881
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET

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常见问题

"在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"少于50",概率为 72%,其次是"50–59",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 72¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?"的当前领先者是"少于50",概率为 72%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 72%。紧随其后的结果是"50–59",概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在下次俄罗斯立法选举中,共产党( KPRF )将赢得多少席位?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。