The market's heavy weighting toward fewer than 50 seats for the KPRF reflects the party's entrenched position as systemic opposition within Russia's tightly managed mixed electoral system, where United Russia is projected to dominate most of the 225 single-member districts. Recent state and independent polls ahead of the September 18–20 vote show KPRF list support in the 11–17% range, comparable to or below its 2021 result, with no sustained surge despite economic strains and war fatigue. Administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, reduced competition in districts, and pressure to limit strong challengers, further constrain gains. Other parliamentary parties such as LDPR and New People compete for similar voter segments, while the exclusion of non-systemic options like Yabloko reinforces the limited scope for KPRF expansion under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于50 72%
50–59 22%
80–89 5.0%
90–99 4.6%
少于50
72%
50–59
22%
60–69
3%
70–79
2%
80–89
5%
90–99
5%
100+
3%
少于50 72%
50–59 22%
80–89 5.0%
90–99 4.6%
少于50
72%
50–59
22%
60–69
3%
70–79
2%
80–89
5%
90–99
5%
100+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
The market's heavy weighting toward fewer than 50 seats for the KPRF reflects the party's entrenched position as systemic opposition within Russia's tightly managed mixed electoral system, where United Russia is projected to dominate most of the 225 single-member districts. Recent state and independent polls ahead of the September 18–20 vote show KPRF list support in the 11–17% range, comparable to or below its 2021 result, with no sustained surge despite economic strains and war fatigue. Administrative measures, including candidate disqualifications, reduced competition in districts, and pressure to limit strong challengers, further constrain gains. Other parliamentary parties such as LDPR and New People compete for similar voter segments, while the exclusion of non-systemic options like Yabloko reinforces the limited scope for KPRF expansion under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题