Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见？
在9月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见？
4+ 31%
3 28%
2 16%
1 14%
$17,736 交易量
$17,736 交易量
2026-09-16
0
10%
1
14%
2
16%
3
28%
4+
31%
4+ 31%
3 28%
2 16%
1 14%
$17,736 交易量
$17,736 交易量
2026-09-16
0
$12,810 交易量
10%
1
$515 交易量
14%
2
$585 交易量
16%
3
$2,988 交易量
28%
4+
$838 交易量
31%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,736结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETThe September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$17,736结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETPersistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core amid Middle East energy risks, anchors trader expectations for continued FOMC divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The July 29 decision produced a 9-3 hold with three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, establishing a high bar for consensus. Recent comments from Governor Waller highlight the data-dependent tilt, leaving room for additional dissenters if August CPI and employment figures fail to show clear disinflation. With 4+ and 3 outcomes priced near 31% and 28.5%, the market reflects uncertainty over whether new data or further hawkish rhetoric will widen the split beyond the prior three-dissent precedent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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