Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 point to maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under the influence of the strengthened Pacific High, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty that keeps 29°C and 30°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Typical mid-August climatology features daily highs averaging 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while model spreads in insolation and wind patterns differentiate outcomes around these thresholds. Upcoming JMA updates and short-range ensemble runs will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日东京气温最高？
8月16日东京气温最高？
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
32%
30°C
40%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
28°C 11%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
24°C or below
$248 交易量
<1%
25°C
$157 交易量
<1%
26°C
$82 交易量
1%
27°C
$606 交易量
4%
28°C
$397 交易量
11%
29°C
$1,119 交易量
32%
30°C
$2,189 交易量
40%
31°C
$314 交易量
10%
32°C
$291 交易量
4%
33°C
$315 交易量
2%
34°C or higher
$131 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 point to maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under the influence of the strengthened Pacific High, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty that keeps 29°C and 30°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Typical mid-August climatology features daily highs averaging 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while model spreads in insolation and wind patterns differentiate outcomes around these thresholds. Upcoming JMA updates and short-range ensemble runs will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,849结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 point to maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under the influence of the strengthened Pacific High, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty that keeps 29°C and 30°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Typical mid-August climatology features daily highs averaging 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while model spreads in insolation and wind patterns differentiate outcomes around these thresholds. Upcoming JMA updates and short-range ensemble runs will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,849结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 point to maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under the influence of the strengthened Pacific High, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover introducing uncertainty that keeps 29°C and 30°C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Typical mid-August climatology features daily highs averaging 31°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while model spreads in insolation and wind patterns differentiate outcomes around these thresholds. Upcoming JMA updates and short-range ensemble runs will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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