**The market-implied 100% probability on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflects the verified maximum temperature recorded at the official Sea-Tac station.** Preliminary National Weather Service climatological data confirm a daily maximum of 76°F (slightly above the 77°F normal but well below recent record highs near 89°F), with afternoon observations and model consensus aligning closely after morning clouds and light rain gave way to partial clearing. This outcome sits near the long-term average high of ~76°F for the date and matches real-time surface observations under moderate onshore flow that limited daytime warming. A final data revision, use of an alternate station for resolution, or localized microclimate differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日西雅图的最高温度?
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$36,068 交易量
$36,068 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$36,068 交易量
$36,068 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**The market-implied 100% probability on a 74-75°F high for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflects the verified maximum temperature recorded at the official Sea-Tac station.** Preliminary National Weather Service climatological data confirm a daily maximum of 76°F (slightly above the 77°F normal but well below recent record highs near 89°F), with afternoon observations and model consensus aligning closely after morning clouds and light rain gave way to partial clearing. This outcome sits near the long-term average high of ~76°F for the date and matches real-time surface observations under moderate onshore flow that limited daytime warming. A final data revision, use of an alternate station for resolution, or localized microclimate differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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