Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
29°C 43%
30°C 27%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
43%
30°C
27%
31°C
19%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
30°C 27%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$20 交易量
<1%
25°C
$20 交易量
1%
26°C
$20 交易量
1%
27°C
$20 交易量
4%
28°C
$31 交易量
10%
29°C
$178 交易量
43%
30°C
$110 交易量
27%
31°C
$32 交易量
19%
32°C
$15 交易量
2%
33°C
$2 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$453结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$453结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 13, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 65%. This reflects a warm late-winter pattern where subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover allow greater solar heating than the seasonal average of 23–25°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable low-level moisture and wind patterns, with limited risk of cooler advection keeping probabilities for 28°C or below under 15%. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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