Recent forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to unstable conditions over northern Italy by August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after a hot spell earlier in the week. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures in the 25–28°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, though storm timing and intensity introduce variability that could cap peaks closer to 23–24°C if convection develops earlier. Historical August climatology in Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this cooler setup a notable departure driven by a passing frontal system. Trader consensus around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement on moderated temperatures, with narrower spreads in ensemble runs supporting lower probabilities for extremes above 25°C or below 22°C as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日米兰的最高温度？
8月21日米兰的最高温度？
23°C 38%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
19%
23°C
38%
24°C
27%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 38%
24°C 27%
22°C 19%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$504 交易量
<1%
17°C
$614 交易量
<1%
18°C
$823 交易量
<1%
19°C
$255 交易量
1%
20°C
$34 交易量
1%
21°C
$268 交易量
6%
22°C
$237 交易量
19%
23°C
$913 交易量
38%
24°C
$186 交易量
27%
25°C
$38 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$674 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to unstable conditions over northern Italy by August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after a hot spell earlier in the week. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures in the 25–28°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, though storm timing and intensity introduce variability that could cap peaks closer to 23–24°C if convection develops earlier. Historical August climatology in Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this cooler setup a notable departure driven by a passing frontal system. Trader consensus around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement on moderated temperatures, with narrower spreads in ensemble runs supporting lower probabilities for extremes above 25°C or below 22°C as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,546结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to unstable conditions over northern Italy by August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after a hot spell earlier in the week. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures in the 25–28°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, though storm timing and intensity introduce variability that could cap peaks closer to 23–24°C if convection develops earlier. Historical August climatology in Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this cooler setup a notable departure driven by a passing frontal system. Trader consensus around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement on moderated temperatures, with narrower spreads in ensemble runs supporting lower probabilities for extremes above 25°C or below 22°C as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,546结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to unstable conditions over northern Italy by August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after a hot spell earlier in the week. Official guidance points to maximum temperatures in the 25–28°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, though storm timing and intensity introduce variability that could cap peaks closer to 23–24°C if convection develops earlier. Historical August climatology in Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, making this cooler setup a notable departure driven by a passing frontal system. Trader consensus around the 23–24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement on moderated temperatures, with narrower spreads in ensemble runs supporting lower probabilities for extremes above 25°C or below 22°C as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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