Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月8日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C 39%
23°C 32%
25°C 20%
22°C 8%
最新
$11,036 交易量
最新
$11,036 交易量
2026-08-08
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
32%
24°C
39%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 32%
25°C 20%
22°C 8%
最新
$11,036 交易量
最新
$11,036 交易量
2026-08-08
18°C或以下
$784 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,791 交易量
<1%
20°C
$548 交易量
<1%
21°C
$498 交易量
1%
22°C
$872 交易量
8%
23°C
$1,244 交易量
32%
24°C
$1,073 交易量
39%
25°C
$1,484 交易量
20%
26°C
$1,887 交易量
4%
27°C
$339 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$515 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$11,036结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,036结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) for the Valle de México on August 8 point to maximum temperatures of 24–26 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25 °C and climatological August highs near 24 °C. Afternoon convective showers and variable cloud cover, typical of the summer rainy season, introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and urban heat-island effects modulate observed readings. An ongoing El Niño episode supports slightly above-average warmth across central Mexico, yet short-term steering patterns and timing of precipitation remain the dominant variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the latest model guidance and real-time observations against historical variability when assigning probabilities within this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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