Official measurements from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, driving the market to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, summer highs are typically moderated by thinner atmosphere and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season; satellite and surface data showed persistent moisture and limited solar heating that day, aligning with climatological norms around 22–25°C. Traders placed full weight on verified government and international monitoring agency reports, which define the resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the observation period could realistically alter the result, scenarios unsupported by available records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日墨西哥城气温最高?
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,735 交易量
$15,735 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,735 交易量
$15,735 交易量
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official measurements from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 23°C on August 29, driving the market to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, summer highs are typically moderated by thinner atmosphere and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season; satellite and surface data showed persistent moisture and limited solar heating that day, aligning with climatological norms around 22–25°C. Traders placed full weight on verified government and international monitoring agency reports, which define the resolution criteria. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the observation period could realistically alter the result, scenarios unsupported by available records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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