Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project afternoon highs of 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 30, aligning with late-summer norms where daily maxima average 23–25°C amid the rainy season's convective activity. Official monitoring shows temperatures rarely fall below this range in late August due to solar heating and regional atmospheric patterns, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Model consensus and historical records confirm low variability on this date, though heavy cloud cover, intense localized rainfall, or measurement differences across urban stations could realistically keep the peak below the threshold. Updated agency briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,318 交易量
$14,318 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
100%
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,318 交易量
$14,318 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
$163 交易量
<1%
17°C
$140 交易量
<1%
18°C
$241 交易量
<1%
19°C
$115 交易量
<1%
20°C
$369 交易量
<1%
21°C
$554 交易量
<1%
22°C
$539 交易量
<1%
23°C
$818 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,406 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,665 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$3,309 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project afternoon highs of 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 30, aligning with late-summer norms where daily maxima average 23–25°C amid the rainy season's convective activity. Official monitoring shows temperatures rarely fall below this range in late August due to solar heating and regional atmospheric patterns, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Model consensus and historical records confirm low variability on this date, though heavy cloud cover, intense localized rainfall, or measurement differences across urban stations could realistically keep the peak below the threshold. Updated agency briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$14,318结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project afternoon highs of 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 30, aligning with late-summer norms where daily maxima average 23–25°C amid the rainy season's convective activity. Official monitoring shows temperatures rarely fall below this range in late August due to solar heating and regional atmospheric patterns, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Model consensus and historical records confirm low variability on this date, though heavy cloud cover, intense localized rainfall, or measurement differences across urban stations could realistically keep the peak below the threshold. Updated agency briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,318结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETCurrent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project afternoon highs of 24–26°C in Mexico City on August 30, aligning with late-summer norms where daily maxima average 23–25°C amid the rainy season's convective activity. Official monitoring shows temperatures rarely fall below this range in late August due to solar heating and regional atmospheric patterns, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for a high of 26°C or above. Model consensus and historical records confirm low variability on this date, though heavy cloud cover, intense localized rainfall, or measurement differences across urban stations could realistically keep the peak below the threshold. Updated agency briefings remain the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题