Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters drives typically cool August overnight lows near the 12°C historical average, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 10–12°C due to model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and showers. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecasts emphasize a 12–14°C minimum amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms, while localized stations and some runs indicate potential for brief dips near 10–11°C if clearer skies allow greater heat loss before dawn. Rain timing and urban heat effects create the narrow probability band, with extremes below 9°C or above 13°C remaining remote given current atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月30日的最低温度?
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$819 交易量
$819 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
52%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$819 交易量
$819 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
52%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters drives typically cool August overnight lows near the 12°C historical average, with trader consensus clustering tightly around 10–12°C due to model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and showers. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecasts emphasize a 12–14°C minimum amid partly cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms, while localized stations and some runs indicate potential for brief dips near 10–11°C if clearer skies allow greater heat loss before dawn. Rain timing and urban heat effects create the narrow probability band, with extremes below 9°C or above 13°C remaining remote given current atmospheric patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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