Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
21°C 49%
22°C 40%
23°C或更高 7%
20°C 6%
$19,412 交易量
$19,412 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
40%
23°C或更高
7%
21°C 49%
22°C 40%
23°C或更高 7%
20°C 6%
$19,412 交易量
$19,412 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
40%
23°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a mild late-winter day in Buenos Aires with a maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 21 °C and 22 °C, which together command over 85 % of trader probability. The implied odds reflect consensus across official guidance and ensemble runs showing modest warming above the long-term August average of roughly 18 °C, without significant model spread or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or suppress them below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will determine whether the peak settles at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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