Strong trader consensus around a low of 6°C or below for Buenos Aires on August 30 reflects ensemble forecasts from regional models and the Argentine National Meteorological Service showing a southerly flow of colder Patagonian air under clear skies and light winds, driving rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter patterns where minimum temperatures frequently drop several degrees below the 7°C August climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at Aeroparque or Ezeiza, with the market-implied odds incorporating uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depressions. A stalled front or unexpected northerly advection could keep readings above the threshold, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月30日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 交易量
$2,569 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C或以下
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,569 交易量
$2,569 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C或以下
$975 交易量
100%
7°C
$264 交易量
<1%
8°C
$281 交易量
<1%
9°C
$271 交易量
<1%
10°C
$224 交易量
<1%
11°C
$139 交易量
<1%
12°C
$92 交易量
<1%
13°C
$101 交易量
<1%
14°C
$72 交易量
<1%
15°C
$77 交易量
<1%
16°C或更高
$73 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a low of 6°C or below for Buenos Aires on August 30 reflects ensemble forecasts from regional models and the Argentine National Meteorological Service showing a southerly flow of colder Patagonian air under clear skies and light winds, driving rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter patterns where minimum temperatures frequently drop several degrees below the 7°C August climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at Aeroparque or Ezeiza, with the market-implied odds incorporating uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depressions. A stalled front or unexpected northerly advection could keep readings above the threshold, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,569结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a low of 6°C or below for Buenos Aires on August 30 reflects ensemble forecasts from regional models and the Argentine National Meteorological Service showing a southerly flow of colder Patagonian air under clear skies and light winds, driving rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter patterns where minimum temperatures frequently drop several degrees below the 7°C August climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at Aeroparque or Ezeiza, with the market-implied odds incorporating uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depressions. A stalled front or unexpected northerly advection could keep readings above the threshold, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,569结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETStrong trader consensus around a low of 6°C or below for Buenos Aires on August 30 reflects ensemble forecasts from regional models and the Argentine National Meteorological Service showing a southerly flow of colder Patagonian air under clear skies and light winds, driving rapid nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter patterns where minimum temperatures frequently drop several degrees below the 7°C August climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at Aeroparque or Ezeiza, with the market-implied odds incorporating uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depressions. A stalled front or unexpected northerly advection could keep readings above the threshold, though current model agreement leaves limited room for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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