Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh through September 8, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 30–32°C range. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, and evaporative cooling from rainfall have positioned 31°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, but current conditions reflect a typical late-monsoon pattern where precipitation events cap peaks below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings on September 7–8 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日勒克瑙的最高温度?
31°C 38%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
25℃或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 38%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
25℃或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh through September 8, which suppress daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 30–32°C range. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, and evaporative cooling from rainfall have positioned 31°C as the market leader at 43% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C. Historical September climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, but current conditions reflect a typical late-monsoon pattern where precipitation events cap peaks below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings on September 7–8 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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