**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, consistent with recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) that have remained in the 77–83°F range amid typical marine-layer and onshore flow conditions.** This coastal cooling mechanism, reinforced by west-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph, has kept afternoon readings well below historical extremes for late August and far short of the 91°F threshold. With no indications of offshore flow, heat advection, or model divergence favoring rapid warming, the market-implied probability above 99% for 91°F or below reflects the strong alignment between current observations, climatological norms (LAX August high near 77°F), and consensus guidance. A sudden shift in synoptic patterns could theoretically push readings higher, though no such development appears imminent before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
91°F或以下 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$8,099 交易量
$8,099 交易量
2026-08-23
91°F或以下
99%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
91°F或以下 99.4%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$8,099 交易量
$8,099 交易量
2026-08-23
91°F或以下
$1,553 交易量
99%
92-93°F
$873 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,418 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,296 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$382 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$977 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$162 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$172 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$176 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$891 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, consistent with recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) that have remained in the 77–83°F range amid typical marine-layer and onshore flow conditions.**
This coastal cooling mechanism, reinforced by west-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph, has kept afternoon readings well below historical extremes for late August and far short of the 91°F threshold. With no indications of offshore flow, heat advection, or model divergence favoring rapid warming, the market-implied probability above 99% for 91°F or below reflects the strong alignment between current observations, climatological norms (LAX August high near 77°F), and consensus guidance. A sudden shift in synoptic patterns could theoretically push readings higher, though no such development appears imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$8,099结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, consistent with recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) that have remained in the 77–83°F range amid typical marine-layer and onshore flow conditions.**
This coastal cooling mechanism, reinforced by west-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph, has kept afternoon readings well below historical extremes for late August and far short of the 91°F threshold. With no indications of offshore flow, heat advection, or model divergence favoring rapid warming, the market-implied probability above 99% for 91°F or below reflects the strong alignment between current observations, climatological norms (LAX August high near 77°F), and consensus guidance. A sudden shift in synoptic patterns could theoretically push readings higher, though no such development appears imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,099结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a high temperature in the low-to-mid 80s°F for Los Angeles on August 23, 2026, consistent with recent daily maxima at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) that have remained in the 77–83°F range amid typical marine-layer and onshore flow conditions.** This coastal cooling mechanism, reinforced by west-to-southwest winds of 10–15 mph, has kept afternoon readings well below historical extremes for late August and far short of the 91°F threshold. With no indications of offshore flow, heat advection, or model divergence favoring rapid warming, the market-implied probability above 99% for 91°F or below reflects the strong alignment between current observations, climatological norms (LAX August high near 77°F), and consensus guidance. A sudden shift in synoptic patterns could theoretically push readings higher, though no such development appears imminent before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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