Persistent summer heat across northern China drives the market's near-certain consensus for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Mid-August climatology features average maxima of 30–35°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, with current forecasts from regional models projecting 30–34°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly winds. Official observations already show afternoon temperatures in the low 30s°C, consistent with early-August heat patterns that produced regional readings above 35°C. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler maritime air or widespread convective cooling could realistically push the maximum below 26°C, though guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日济南气温最高？
8月14日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,903 交易量
$8,903 交易量
2026-08-14
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,903 交易量
$8,903 交易量
2026-08-14
16°C or below
$273 交易量
No
17°C
$509 交易量
No
18°C
$492 交易量
No
19°C
$802 交易量
No
20°C
$482 交易量
No
21°C
$453 交易量
No
22°C
$603 交易量
No
23°C
$393 交易量
No
24°C
$992 交易量
No
25°C
$162 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$3,742 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China drives the market's near-certain consensus for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Mid-August climatology features average maxima of 30–35°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, with current forecasts from regional models projecting 30–34°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly winds. Official observations already show afternoon temperatures in the low 30s°C, consistent with early-August heat patterns that produced regional readings above 35°C. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler maritime air or widespread convective cooling could realistically push the maximum below 26°C, though guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$8,903结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China drives the market's near-certain consensus for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Mid-August climatology features average maxima of 30–35°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, with current forecasts from regional models projecting 30–34°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly winds. Official observations already show afternoon temperatures in the low 30s°C, consistent with early-August heat patterns that produced regional readings above 35°C. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler maritime air or widespread convective cooling could realistically push the maximum below 26°C, though guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,903结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Persistent summer heat across northern China drives the market's near-certain consensus for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 14. Mid-August climatology features average maxima of 30–35°C under subtropical high-pressure influence, with current forecasts from regional models projecting 30–34°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly winds. Official observations already show afternoon temperatures in the low 30s°C, consistent with early-August heat patterns that produced regional readings above 35°C. Only an unanticipated surge of cooler maritime air or widespread convective cooling could realistically push the maximum below 26°C, though guidance shows low probability of such shifts before the daily peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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