Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently indicate a high near 90–92°F for Denver on August 24, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–93°F bins. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from peak summer values, with normal highs around 86–89°F, yet a lingering warm pattern after early-month records near 102°F supports the slight elevation. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, already evident in recent guidance, could cap the maximum if they develop earlier than expected, introducing modest downside risk reflected in the secondary probabilities. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日丹佛最高温度?
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 4%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
1%
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 4%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently indicate a high near 90–92°F for Denver on August 24, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–93°F bins. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from peak summer values, with normal highs around 86–89°F, yet a lingering warm pattern after early-month records near 102°F supports the slight elevation. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, already evident in recent guidance, could cap the maximum if they develop earlier than expected, introducing modest downside risk reflected in the secondary probabilities. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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