Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日重庆气温最高？
9月8日重庆气温最高？
37°C 35%
38°C 34%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32℃或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C
35%
38°C
34%
39°C
16%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C或以上
2%
37°C 35%
38°C 34%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
32℃或以下
$271 交易量
<1%
33°C
$115 交易量
<1%
34°C
$46 交易量
2%
35°C
$27 交易量
6%
36°C
$45 交易量
12%
37°C
$503 交易量
35%
38°C
$424 交易量
34%
39°C
$153 交易量
16%
40°C
$45 交易量
6%
41°C
$55 交易量
2%
42°C或以上
$200 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,884结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,884结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Chongqing’s September 8 maximum near 37–38 °C amid a persistent heat wave, with surface observations showing recent daily highs of 35–38 °C and minimal overnight cooling. Light southerly winds, low humidity around 35–45 %, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime heating, though scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures near 37 °C in some runs. The tight market split between 37 °C and 38 °C reflects this narrow range of forecast outcomes and the sensitivity of the peak to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convection before resolution. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official Chinese meteorological briefings expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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