Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 show mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 21–23°C. Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts centers on a maximum of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling typically limits peaks. A minority of runs, including some U.S. model outputs, reach 35–36°C under stronger insolation assumptions. This spread, combined with recent clear conditions on August 30 that allowed temperatures to approach 33°C, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 35–36°C while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes. Final resolution will depend on the official station measurement amid low precipitation risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日成都气温最高？
8月31日成都气温最高？
36°C 45%
35°C 35%
34°C 13%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
35%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 35%
34°C 13%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$636 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,157 交易量
<1%
31°C
$545 交易量
<1%
32°C
$454 交易量
2%
33°C
$557 交易量
4%
34°C
$892 交易量
13%
35°C
$916 交易量
35%
36°C
$2,424 交易量
45%
37°C
$1,296 交易量
6%
38°C
$529 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$376 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 show mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 21–23°C. Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts centers on a maximum of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling typically limits peaks. A minority of runs, including some U.S. model outputs, reach 35–36°C under stronger insolation assumptions. This spread, combined with recent clear conditions on August 30 that allowed temperatures to approach 33°C, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 35–36°C while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes. Final resolution will depend on the official station measurement amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,776结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 show mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 21–23°C. Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts centers on a maximum of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling typically limits peaks. A minority of runs, including some U.S. model outputs, reach 35–36°C under stronger insolation assumptions. This spread, combined with recent clear conditions on August 30 that allowed temperatures to approach 33°C, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 35–36°C while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes. Final resolution will depend on the official station measurement amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,776结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models for Chengdu on August 31 show mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 21–23°C. Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts centers on a maximum of 32–34°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where seasonal cooling typically limits peaks. A minority of runs, including some U.S. model outputs, reach 35–36°C under stronger insolation assumptions. This spread, combined with recent clear conditions on August 30 that allowed temperatures to approach 33°C, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 35–36°C while assigning lower weight to cooler outcomes. Final resolution will depend on the official station measurement amid low precipitation risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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