Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日成都气温最高？
9月1日成都气温最高？
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
25%
35°C
37%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 37%
34°C 25%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
28°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
29°C
$30 交易量
<1%
30°C
$337 交易量
2%
31°C
$145 交易量
2%
32°C
$53 交易量
5%
33°C
$77 交易量
11%
34°C
$111 交易量
25%
35°C
$329 交易量
37%
36°C
$403 交易量
19%
37°C
$489 交易量
6%
38°C or higher
$98 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,183结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,183结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models for Chengdu indicate a high near 34°C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, aligning with typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show limited variability across ensembles, though slight differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, with 35°C and 34°C as the leading outcomes at 37% and 25% implied probability, reflects this consensus while incorporating the inherent range in short-range numerical weather prediction. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, but persistent high-pressure influence supports elevated readings without extreme heat. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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