Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Eric Girard 51%
玛丽-克劳德·萨拉赞 45%
朱莉·图朗若 2.5%
玛丽-诺埃尔·奥贝尔坦 1.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Eric Girard
64%
玛丽-克劳德·萨拉赞
45%
朱莉·图朗若
3%
玛丽-诺埃尔·奥贝尔坦
1%
Eric Girard 51%
玛丽-克劳德·萨拉赞 45%
朱莉·图朗若 2.5%
玛丽-诺埃尔·奥贝尔坦 1.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Eric Girard
$1,001 交易量
64%
玛丽-克劳德·萨拉赞
$414 交易量
45%
朱莉·图朗若
$200 交易量
3%
玛丽-诺埃尔·奥贝尔坦
$190 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,805结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$1,805结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETEric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题