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icon for 2026年第34周流感住院率?

2026年第34周流感住院率?

icon for 2026年第34周流感住院率?

2026年第34周流感住院率?

9月 4

9月 4

<0.1 50%

0.1 50%

>0.1 50%

Polymarket
最新

<0.1 50%

0.1 50%

>0.1 50%

Polymarket
最新

<0.1

$0 交易量

50%

0.1

$0 交易量

50%

>0.1

$0 交易量

50%

This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Low off-season influenza circulation keeps the FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34 (late August/early September 2026), with recent surveillance showing minimal activity that creates tight uncertainty around exact reported values.** As of late August 2026, CDC FluView and RESP-NET data confirm seasonal influenza activity remains very low nationally, with clinical lab positivity at 0.8% in Week 33, ILI visits at 1.1%, and influenza-specific ED diagnoses at 0.1%. NHSN hospital admission rates have stayed at or below 0.2 per 100,000 in recent summer weeks, consistent with historical patterns outside the typical fall-winter peak. FluSurv-NET reported a 0.1 rate as recently as Week 25 (June 2026), and small absolute case counts amplify week-to-week variability from reporting lags and data revisions. Trader consensus reflects this baseline stability while acknowledging genuine uncertainty: preliminary figures can shift slightly with additional reporting, and any subtle early uptick or model adjustment could tip the final Week 34 rate across the 0.1 boundary. No evidence of accelerated summer transmission or atypical strain behavior has emerged to alter the low-activity outlook.

This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-04
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Low off-season influenza circulation keeps the FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold for Week 34 (late August/early September 2026), with recent surveillance showing minimal activity that creates tight uncertainty around exact reported values.** As of late August 2026, CDC FluView and RESP-NET data confirm seasonal influenza activity remains very low nationally, with clinical lab positivity at 0.8% in Week 33, ILI visits at 1.1%, and influenza-specific ED diagnoses at 0.1%. NHSN hospital admission rates have stayed at or below 0.2 per 100,000 in recent summer weeks, consistent with historical patterns outside the typical fall-winter peak. FluSurv-NET reported a 0.1 rate as recently as Week 25 (June 2026), and small absolute case counts amplify week-to-week variability from reporting lags and data revisions. Trader consensus reflects this baseline stability while acknowledging genuine uncertainty: preliminary figures can shift slightly with additional reporting, and any subtle early uptick or model adjustment could tip the final Week 34 rate across the 0.1 boundary. No evidence of accelerated summer transmission or atypical strain behavior has emerged to alter the low-activity outlook.

This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-09-04
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

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常见问题

"2026年第34周流感住院率?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<0.1",概率为 50%,其次是"0.1",概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年第34周流感住院率?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年第34周流感住院率?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年第34周流感住院率?"的当前领先者是"<0.1",概率为 50%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"0.1",概率为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年第34周流感住院率?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。