Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月份纽约市降水量？
9月份纽约市降水量？
>6" 22%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<2"
10%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
21%
4-5"
19%
5-6"
15%
>6"
22%
>6" 22%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<2"
$577 交易量
10%
2-3"
$0 交易量
19%
3-4"
$50 交易量
21%
4-5"
$0 交易量
19%
5-6"
$20 交易量
15%
>6"
$60 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
交易量
$707结束日期
2026-10-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$707结束日期
2026-10-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETStrengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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