Recent U.S. labor market resilience and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus around no change or a modest hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while headline PCE inflation held near 3.7% amid energy and goods pressures. These outcomes reinforced views that the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target remains appropriate, pushing implied probabilities for a 25 basis point increase to 24.5% and no change to 60.5%. Markets now price limited easing until mid-2027, with upcoming September CPI and PPI releases likely to influence near-term rate path expectations ahead of the September 15–16 policy decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,478 交易量
$62,478 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
61%
加息25个基点
25%
上调50个基点以上
2%
No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,478 交易量
$62,478 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
$13,099 交易量
3%
25 bps decrease
$11,934 交易量
14%
No change
$19,062 交易量
61%
加息25个基点
$15,867 交易量
25%
上调50个基点以上
$2,515 交易量
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. labor market resilience and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus around no change or a modest hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while headline PCE inflation held near 3.7% amid energy and goods pressures. These outcomes reinforced views that the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target remains appropriate, pushing implied probabilities for a 25 basis point increase to 24.5% and no change to 60.5%. Markets now price limited easing until mid-2027, with upcoming September CPI and PPI releases likely to influence near-term rate path expectations ahead of the September 15–16 policy decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
交易量
$62,478结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. labor market resilience and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus around no change or a modest hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while headline PCE inflation held near 3.7% amid energy and goods pressures. These outcomes reinforced views that the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target remains appropriate, pushing implied probabilities for a 25 basis point increase to 24.5% and no change to 60.5%. Markets now price limited easing until mid-2027, with upcoming September CPI and PPI releases likely to influence near-term rate path expectations ahead of the September 15–16 policy decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$62,478结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETRecent U.S. labor market resilience and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader consensus around no change or a modest hike at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.1%, while headline PCE inflation held near 3.7% amid energy and goods pressures. These outcomes reinforced views that the current 3.50–3.75% fed funds target remains appropriate, pushing implied probabilities for a 25 basis point increase to 24.5% and no change to 60.5%. Markets now price limited easing until mid-2027, with upcoming September CPI and PPI releases likely to influence near-term rate path expectations ahead of the September 15–16 policy decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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