Elevated inflation and a stable labor market are anchoring trader consensus around no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while unemployment held near 4.1%, reflecting solid growth and productivity despite Middle East-related uncertainty. Recent communications, including Governor Waller's September 3 remarks, highlight a data-dependent stance open to holding or hiking if price pressures persist, aligning with the June dot plot's higher median rate path through 2027. The August CPI release due September 11 and subsequent meetings will test these probabilities amid ongoing supply shocks and policy normalization signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,478 交易量
$62,478 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
61%
加息25个基点
25%
上调50个基点以上
2%
No change 61%
加息25个基点 25%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$62,478 交易量
$62,478 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
$13,099 交易量
3%
25 bps decrease
$11,934 交易量
14%
No change
$19,062 交易量
61%
加息25个基点
$15,867 交易量
25%
上调50个基点以上
$2,515 交易量
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation and a stable labor market are anchoring trader consensus around no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while unemployment held near 4.1%, reflecting solid growth and productivity despite Middle East-related uncertainty. Recent communications, including Governor Waller's September 3 remarks, highlight a data-dependent stance open to holding or hiking if price pressures persist, aligning with the June dot plot's higher median rate path through 2027. The August CPI release due September 11 and subsequent meetings will test these probabilities amid ongoing supply shocks and policy normalization signals.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
交易量
$62,478结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation and a stable labor market are anchoring trader consensus around no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while unemployment held near 4.1%, reflecting solid growth and productivity despite Middle East-related uncertainty. Recent communications, including Governor Waller's September 3 remarks, highlight a data-dependent stance open to holding or hiking if price pressures persist, aligning with the June dot plot's higher median rate path through 2027. The August CPI release due September 11 and subsequent meetings will test these probabilities amid ongoing supply shocks and policy normalization signals.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$62,478结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETElevated inflation and a stable labor market are anchoring trader consensus around no change in the federal funds rate at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. July 2026 CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while unemployment held near 4.1%, reflecting solid growth and productivity despite Middle East-related uncertainty. Recent communications, including Governor Waller's September 3 remarks, highlight a data-dependent stance open to holding or hiking if price pressures persist, aligning with the June dot plot's higher median rate path through 2027. The August CPI release due September 11 and subsequent meetings will test these probabilities amid ongoing supply shocks and policy normalization signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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