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icon for 彰化县地方法官选举获胜者

彰化县地方法官选举获胜者

icon for 彰化县地方法官选举获胜者

彰化县地方法官选举获胜者

陈素月 70%

邱建富 11%

洪荣章 8%

魏平政 7%

Polymarket
最新

陈素月 70%

邱建富 11%

洪荣章 8%

魏平政 7%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 陈素月

陈素月

$1,233 交易量

70%

icon for 邱建富

邱建富

$336 交易量

11%

icon for 洪荣章

洪荣章

$323 交易量

8%

icon for 魏平政

魏平政

$214 交易量

7%

icon for 黄秀芳

黄秀芳

$240 交易量

5%

icon for 林世贤

林世贤

$753 交易量

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP legislator Chen Su-yueh holds the leading position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the party's official nominee for the November 2026 local elections. Her standing reflects strong party organizational backing and legislative visibility in the county, though the field remains fragmented with multiple contenders. KMT discussions around potential nominee Wei Ping-cheng, former mayor Chiu Chien-fu's independent bid after losing the DPP primary, and lower-priced options such as Huang Hsiu-fang create vote-splitting dynamics that keep probabilities compressed near even money for several names. Trader consensus prices in this multi-candidate uncertainty while awaiting final party confirmations, candidate withdrawals, or late-cycle polling shifts that could consolidate support ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,079
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).DPP legislator Chen Su-yueh holds the leading position in the Changhua County Magistrate race as the party's official nominee for the November 2026 local elections. Her standing reflects strong party organizational backing and legislative visibility in the county, though the field remains fragmented with multiple contenders. KMT discussions around potential nominee Wei Ping-cheng, former mayor Chiu Chien-fu's independent bid after losing the DPP primary, and lower-priced options such as Huang Hsiu-fang create vote-splitting dynamics that keep probabilities compressed near even money for several names. Trader consensus prices in this multi-candidate uncertainty while awaiting final party confirmations, candidate withdrawals, or late-cycle polling shifts that could consolidate support ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,079
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"彰化县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"陈素月",概率为 70%,其次是"邱建富",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 70¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 70%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"彰化县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"彰化县地方法官选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"彰化县地方法官选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"陈素月",概率为 70%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 70%。紧随其后的结果是"邱建富",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"彰化县地方法官选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。