Tsai Yi-yu’s position as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi County magistrate has anchored trader consensus around his high implied probability. He secured the nomination after winning the party’s January 2026 primary by a wide margin and is viewed as the clear frontrunner in a county that has consistently supported the DPP in recent local elections. No major opposition candidates or party realignments have emerged in the past month to shift this dynamic ahead of the November vote. Minor contenders, including those listed at lower percentages, remain secondary in the absence of comparable party backing or polling momentum. The market pricing reflects these structural and nomination factors rather than late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于蔡易余 87%
吴炳瑞 10%
蔡松谚 4.8%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蔡易余
87%
吴炳瑞
10%
蔡松谚
5%
蔡易余 87%
吴炳瑞 10%
蔡松谚 4.8%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
蔡易余
$518 交易量
87%
吴炳瑞
$251 交易量
10%
蔡松谚
$79 交易量
5%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu’s position as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi County magistrate has anchored trader consensus around his high implied probability. He secured the nomination after winning the party’s January 2026 primary by a wide margin and is viewed as the clear frontrunner in a county that has consistently supported the DPP in recent local elections. No major opposition candidates or party realignments have emerged in the past month to shift this dynamic ahead of the November vote. Minor contenders, including those listed at lower percentages, remain secondary in the absence of comparable party backing or polling momentum. The market pricing reflects these structural and nomination factors rather than late-cycle developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
交易量
$848结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu’s position as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi County magistrate has anchored trader consensus around his high implied probability. He secured the nomination after winning the party’s January 2026 primary by a wide margin and is viewed as the clear frontrunner in a county that has consistently supported the DPP in recent local elections. No major opposition candidates or party realignments have emerged in the past month to shift this dynamic ahead of the November vote. Minor contenders, including those listed at lower percentages, remain secondary in the absence of comparable party backing or polling momentum. The market pricing reflects these structural and nomination factors rather than late-cycle developments.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$848结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tsai Yi-yu’s position as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi County magistrate has anchored trader consensus around his high implied probability. He secured the nomination after winning the party’s January 2026 primary by a wide margin and is viewed as the clear frontrunner in a county that has consistently supported the DPP in recent local elections. No major opposition candidates or party realignments have emerged in the past month to shift this dynamic ahead of the November vote. Minor contenders, including those listed at lower percentages, remain secondary in the absence of comparable party backing or polling momentum. The market pricing reflects these structural and nomination factors rather than late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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