All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
是
16% 概率
$12,816 交易量
$12,816 交易量
2026-12-31
是
16% 概率
$12,816 交易量
$12,816 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,816结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,816结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...All three major credit rating agencies maintain stable outlooks on U.S. sovereign debt after Moody’s May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 aligned it one notch below the top tier alongside S&P and Fitch. Fitch reaffirmed its AA+ rating with a stable outlook in August 2025, and subsequent reviews through mid-2026 have shown no negative watches or renewed debt-ceiling standoffs. Congressional Budget Office projections highlight sustained deficits and rising debt-service costs, yet the lack of abrupt fiscal shocks or legislative confrontations has eased near-term downgrade pressure. This institutional stability and absence of historical catalysts underpin the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for no additional downgrade before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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