Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 3.4% year-over-year rate, aligning with expectations after June's -0.4% print and supporting a soft landing narrative. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.35% monthly advance, reflecting potential rebounds in energy and shelter components amid stable labor market conditions. With leading outcomes at 0.3% and 0.4% each near 46% implied probability, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over seasonal adjustments and goods prices, while the 38.5% odds on ≥0.5% capture upside risks from persistent services inflation. The August release on September 11 will resolve the market, with current pricing embedding modest reacceleration from the prior month's subdued pace.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.4% 41%
≥0.5% 41%
0.2% 21%
0.0% 8%
≤-0.3%
7%
-0.2%
8%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
8%
0.1%
6%
0.2%
21%
0.3%
62%
0.4%
41%
≥0.5%
41%
0.4% 41%
≥0.5% 41%
0.2% 21%
0.0% 8%
≤-0.3%
7%
-0.2%
8%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
8%
0.1%
6%
0.2%
21%
0.3%
62%
0.4%
41%
≥0.5%
41%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 3.4% year-over-year rate, aligning with expectations after June's -0.4% print and supporting a soft landing narrative. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.35% monthly advance, reflecting potential rebounds in energy and shelter components amid stable labor market conditions. With leading outcomes at 0.3% and 0.4% each near 46% implied probability, trader consensus highlights uncertainty over seasonal adjustments and goods prices, while the 38.5% odds on ≥0.5% capture upside risks from persistent services inflation. The August release on September 11 will resolve the market, with current pricing embedding modest reacceleration from the prior month's subdued pace.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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