Recent monthly GDP figures from Statistics Canada have anchored trader consensus around modest expansion, with the June 2026 print registering 0.2% month-over-month after a 0.3% gain in May. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, while elevated oil and gas prices lifted goods-producing industries. This outcome aligns with broader 2026 forecasts of subdued annual growth near 1.1%, reflecting resilient domestic demand amid lingering trade frictions and slower population growth. Market-implied odds for the 0.2-0.3% bucket reflect this data trajectory and limited near-term catalysts before the next release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.2-0.3% 56%
0.0-0.1% 24%
低于0.0% 3.8%
0.6-0.7% 2.1%
低于0.0%
4%
0.0-0.1%
24%
0.2-0.3%
56%
0.4-0.5%
1%
0.6-0.7%
2%
0.8%及以上
1%
0.2-0.3% 56%
0.0-0.1% 24%
低于0.0% 3.8%
0.6-0.7% 2.1%
低于0.0%
4%
0.0-0.1%
24%
0.2-0.3%
56%
0.4-0.5%
1%
0.6-0.7%
2%
0.8%及以上
1%
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Recent monthly GDP figures from Statistics Canada have anchored trader consensus around modest expansion, with the June 2026 print registering 0.2% month-over-month after a 0.3% gain in May. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, while elevated oil and gas prices lifted goods-producing industries. This outcome aligns with broader 2026 forecasts of subdued annual growth near 1.1%, reflecting resilient domestic demand amid lingering trade frictions and slower population growth. Market-implied odds for the 0.2-0.3% bucket reflect this data trajectory and limited near-term catalysts before the next release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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