As of early September 2026, no major public statements, rallies, or diplomatic events in the preceding 30 days have produced verifiable instances of Donald Trump directing pointed criticism at specific individuals. Traders assessing the market are therefore focused on his established pattern of commentary during campaign appearances, social media posts, and official remarks targeting political opponents, media figures, or foreign leaders. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, upcoming scheduled events such as speeches or press interactions could influence outcomes, though resolution depends on confirmation of any public remarks meeting the market criteria. Historical patterns of similar rhetoric provide context for probability assessments without guaranteeing repetition in the current window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,758 交易量
2026-09-30
巴拉克·歐巴馬
95%
凱西·霍楚爾
94%
莉蒂夏·詹姆斯
85%
塔克·卡爾森
71%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
67%
馬克·卡尼
62%
凱特蘭·柯林斯
56%
吉米·坎摩爾
50%
伊麗莎白·華倫
48%
Norah O'Donnell
39%
Zohran Mamdani
34%
弗里德里希·梅爾茨
29%
安迪·伯納姆
28%
伊隆馬斯克
27%
傑洛姆·鮑威爾
24%
潘·龐迪
22%
弗拉基米爾·普丁
18%
坎迪斯·歐文斯
16%
亞歷克斯·瓊斯
14%
班傑明·納坦雅胡
13%
梅根·凱利
10%
史蒂芬·科貝爾
28%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克宏
7%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
7%
凱文·沃什
7%
梅拉尼婭·川普
10%
教宗良十四世
5%
習近平
5%
J.D.范斯
4%
卡羅琳·萊維特
3%
瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
35%
J.B.普利茨克
50%
喬恩·奧索夫
48%
亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
48%
亞當·希夫
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
57%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
55%
$35,758 交易量
巴拉克·歐巴馬
$2,139 交易量
95%
凱西·霍楚爾
$1,369 交易量
94%
莉蒂夏·詹姆斯
$267 交易量
85%
塔克·卡爾森
$2,009 交易量
71%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
$1,331 交易量
67%
馬克·卡尼
$1,464 交易量
62%
凱特蘭·柯林斯
$624 交易量
56%
吉米·坎摩爾
$766 交易量
50%
伊麗莎白·華倫
$457 交易量
48%
Norah O'Donnell
$52 交易量
39%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,228 交易量
34%
弗里德里希·梅爾茨
$766 交易量
29%
安迪·伯納姆
$1,043 交易量
28%
伊隆馬斯克
$62 交易量
27%
傑洛姆·鮑威爾
$492 交易量
24%
潘·龐迪
$74 交易量
22%
弗拉基米爾·普丁
$910 交易量
18%
坎迪斯·歐文斯
$1,597 交易量
16%
亞歷克斯·瓊斯
$60 交易量
14%
班傑明·納坦雅胡
$1,189 交易量
13%
梅根·凱利
$312 交易量
10%
史蒂芬·科貝爾
$321 交易量
28%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克宏
$2,023 交易量
7%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
$360 交易量
7%
凱文·沃什
$2,629 交易量
7%
梅拉尼婭·川普
$95 交易量
10%
教宗良十四世
$956 交易量
5%
習近平
$329 交易量
5%
J.D.范斯
$1,162 交易量
4%
卡羅琳·萊維特
$272 交易量
3%
瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
$1,344 交易量
35%
J.B.普利茨克
$264 交易量
50%
喬恩·奧索夫
$103 交易量
48%
亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
$140 交易量
48%
亞當·希夫
$60 交易量
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
$1,016 交易量
57%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
$162 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.As of early September 2026, no major public statements, rallies, or diplomatic events in the preceding 30 days have produced verifiable instances of Donald Trump directing pointed criticism at specific individuals. Traders assessing the market are therefore focused on his established pattern of commentary during campaign appearances, social media posts, and official remarks targeting political opponents, media figures, or foreign leaders. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, upcoming scheduled events such as speeches or press interactions could influence outcomes, though resolution depends on confirmation of any public remarks meeting the market criteria. Historical patterns of similar rhetoric provide context for probability assessments without guaranteeing repetition in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
交易量
$35,758結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.As of early September 2026, no major public statements, rallies, or diplomatic events in the preceding 30 days have produced verifiable instances of Donald Trump directing pointed criticism at specific individuals. Traders assessing the market are therefore focused on his established pattern of commentary during campaign appearances, social media posts, and official remarks targeting political opponents, media figures, or foreign leaders. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, upcoming scheduled events such as speeches or press interactions could influence outcomes, though resolution depends on confirmation of any public remarks meeting the market criteria. Historical patterns of similar rhetoric provide context for probability assessments without guaranteeing repetition in the current window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$35,758結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETAs of early September 2026, no major public statements, rallies, or diplomatic events in the preceding 30 days have produced verifiable instances of Donald Trump directing pointed criticism at specific individuals. Traders assessing the market are therefore focused on his established pattern of commentary during campaign appearances, social media posts, and official remarks targeting political opponents, media figures, or foreign leaders. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, upcoming scheduled events such as speeches or press interactions could influence outcomes, though resolution depends on confirmation of any public remarks meeting the market criteria. Historical patterns of similar rhetoric provide context for probability assessments without guaranteeing repetition in the current window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions