Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela's de facto leader at the end of 2026 following her January 2026 swearing-in as acting president after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro. Venezuelan institutions including the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces have backed her continuity, while U.S. diplomatic engagement, sanctions adjustments, and economic stabilization efforts have reinforced her position amid cabinet reshuffles and purges of select Maduro allies. No elections are scheduled before late 2026, and opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile with limited institutional access. Recent factors including June 2026 earthquakes and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on oil and security have not altered core regime structures or prompted a leadership shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於德爾西·羅德里格斯 90%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多 2.7%
迪諾拉·菲格拉 2.1%
唐納·川普 1.0%
$368,212 交易量
$368,212 交易量
德爾西·羅德里格斯
90%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多
3%
迪諾拉·菲格拉
2%
唐納·川普
1%
彼特·赫格塞斯
1%
丹·凱恩
1%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
1%
無國家元首
<1%
豪爾赫·羅德里格斯
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
<1%
法蘭克·多諾萬
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝略·隆登
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
德爾西·羅德里格斯 90%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多 2.7%
迪諾拉·菲格拉 2.1%
唐納·川普 1.0%
$368,212 交易量
$368,212 交易量
德爾西·羅德里格斯
90%
瑪麗亞·科麗娜·馬查多
3%
迪諾拉·菲格拉
2%
唐納·川普
1%
彼特·赫格塞斯
1%
丹·凱恩
1%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
1%
埃德蒙多·岡薩雷斯
1%
無國家元首
<1%
豪爾赫·羅德里格斯
<1%
弗拉迪米爾·帕德里諾·洛佩斯
<1%
法蘭克·多諾萬
<1%
迪奧斯達多·卡貝略·隆登
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
市場開放時間: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela's de facto leader at the end of 2026 following her January 2026 swearing-in as acting president after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro. Venezuelan institutions including the National Assembly, Supreme Court, and armed forces have backed her continuity, while U.S. diplomatic engagement, sanctions adjustments, and economic stabilization efforts have reinforced her position amid cabinet reshuffles and purges of select Maduro allies. No elections are scheduled before late 2026, and opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile with limited institutional access. Recent factors including June 2026 earthquakes and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks on oil and security have not altered core regime structures or prompted a leadership shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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