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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?

200+ 53%

180-199 15%

160-179 13%

40-59 9%

Polymarket
最新

200+ 53%

180-199 15%

160-179 13%

40-59 9%

Polymarket
最新

少於20則

$160 交易量

1%

20-39

$8 交易量

1%

40-59

$8 交易量

9%

60-79

$0 交易量

4%

80-99

$0 交易量

4%

100-119

$0 交易量

4%

120-139

$0 交易量

4%

140-159

$0 交易量

4%

160-179

$6 交易量

13%

180-199

$28 交易量

15%

200+

$297 交易量

53%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has remained elevated in 2026 amid ongoing foreign policy developments, including the Iran conflict, and the approach of the November midterms.** Analyses through mid-2026 show daily averages of roughly 18–27 posts, with frequent bursts exceeding 40–50 posts in a few hours and occasional days surpassing 100. Recent months featured spikes tied to diplomatic and military updates, AI-generated content, and electoral endorsements. These patterns support trader consensus around higher weekly totals for the September 8–15 window, as sustained engagement with current events and campaign-related messaging continues to drive volume above baseline levels.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$507
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has remained elevated in 2026 amid ongoing foreign policy developments, including the Iran conflict, and the approach of the November midterms.** Analyses through mid-2026 show daily averages of roughly 18–27 posts, with frequent bursts exceeding 40–50 posts in a few hours and occasional days surpassing 100. Recent months featured spikes tied to diplomatic and military updates, AI-generated content, and electoral endorsements. These patterns support trader consensus around higher weekly totals for the September 8–15 window, as sustained engagement with current events and campaign-related messaging continues to drive volume above baseline levels.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$507
結束日期
2026-09-15
市場開放時間
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 53%, followed by "180-199" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?" is "200+" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年9月8日至9月15日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.