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政治·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
政治·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

7月 29

7月 29

最新

$22,664 交易量

2026-07-29
Polymarket

$22,664 交易量

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$1,816 交易量

27%

Inflation 20+ times

$395 交易量

88%

Task Force 20+ times

$1,443 交易量

36%

Good day

$1,517 交易量

69%

Groupthink / Group think

$1,034 交易量

30%

Independence

$200 交易量

41%

Echo of History

$955 交易量

47%

North Star

$570 交易量

35%

Predecessor

$0 交易量

23%

Bet / Betting

$961 交易量

62%

Trump

$795 交易量

9%

Balance Sheet

$548 交易量

81%

Central Bank

$1,132 交易量

84%

Productivity

$1,191 交易量

77%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$476 交易量

81%

Shock

$140 交易量

35%

Oil

$882 交易量

53%

Uncertainty

$121 交易量

64%

Restrictive

$20 交易量

65%

Projection

$25 交易量

45%

President

$1,092 交易量

37%

Dollar

$25 交易量

43%

Anchor / Anchored

$43 交易量

33%

Recession

$67 交易量

25%

Consumer Confidence

$1,031 交易量

10%

Iran

$528 交易量

21%

Tax

$0 交易量

21%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$0 交易量

14%

Dissent

$563 交易量

14%

Pandemic

$918 交易量

30%

Renovation

$530 交易量

6%

Good Afternoon

$2,663 交易量

14%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,040 交易量

2%

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$22,664
結束日期
2026-07-29
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s recent semiannual testimony underscored a hawkish tilt, stressing “no tolerance” for elevated inflation, a potential policy “regime change,” and the Fed’s independence from political pressure amid questions about Trump administration influence. Traders are monitoring how these themes translate into July communications, particularly any signals on rate path adjustments given sticky CPI readings, resilient labor market data, and the balance sheet trajectory. Upcoming FOMC decisions and fresh inflation or payrolls releases could shift market-implied odds by clarifying whether Warsh maintains his data-dependent stance or leans toward earlier tightening. His emphasis on AI-driven investment and streamlined regulation also frames expectations for forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$22,664
結束日期
2026-07-29
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inflation 20+ times" at 88%, followed by "Central Bank" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" has generated $22.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" is "Inflation 20+ times" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Central Bank" at 84%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.