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icon for 塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

icon for 塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？

是

71% 機率
Polymarket

$41,595 交易量

是

71% 機率
Polymarket

$41,595 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections—followed by his August clarification pointing to an October or early November vote—has driven trader consensus toward a pre-2027 parliamentary election at 73.5% implied probability. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024 have sustained pressure for dissolution of the National Assembly, while Serbia’s constitution permits the president to call elections 45–60 days after dissolution. Preparations by ODIHR for anticipated 2026 voting and Vučić’s prior pattern of snap polls in 2022 and 2023 reinforce expectations that the regular December 2027 deadline will not be reached.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$41,595
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections—followed by his August clarification pointing to an October or early November vote—has driven trader consensus toward a pre-2027 parliamentary election at 73.5% implied probability. Ongoing student-led protests since late 2024 have sustained pressure for dissolution of the National Assembly, while Serbia’s constitution permits the president to call elections 45–60 days after dissolution. Preparations by ODIHR for anticipated 2026 voting and Vučić’s prior pattern of snap polls in 2022 and 2023 reinforce expectations that the regular December 2027 deadline will not be reached.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$41,595
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塞爾維亞議會選舉會在2027年前舉行嗎？" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" has generated $41.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" is "塞爾維亞議會選舉會在2027年前舉行嗎？" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞爾維亞議會選舉在2027年之前舉行？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.