Marco Rubio leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination at 31.5 percent amid a fragmented field, reflecting his elevated national profile as Secretary of State and established Senate experience that positions him as a versatile running-mate choice. Kristi Noem follows at 10.1 percent, buoyed by her prior executive roles and visibility on immigration enforcement, while John Thune and J.D. Vance trail with single-digit shares tied to Senate leadership and the sitting vice presidency, respectively. The wide dispersion stems from uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, with traders pricing in ticket-balancing needs, base loyalty signals, and potential consolidation around figures demonstrating broad electability or strong Trump-era alignment ahead of the 2028 convention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marco Rubio 32%
Kristi Noem 9.1%
John Thune 8.0%
J.D. Vance 8%
$38,029 交易量
$38,029 交易量
Marco Rubio
32%
Kristi Noem
9%
John Thune
8%
J.D. Vance
8%
Donald Trump
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Thomas Massie
6%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
Rand Paul
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Ted Cruz
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Byron Donalds
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Marco Rubio 32%
Kristi Noem 9.1%
John Thune 8.0%
J.D. Vance 8%
$38,029 交易量
$38,029 交易量
Marco Rubio
32%
Kristi Noem
9%
John Thune
8%
J.D. Vance
8%
Donald Trump
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Thomas Massie
6%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
Rand Paul
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
5%
Brian Kemp
4%
Ted Cruz
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Byron Donalds
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Tom Brady
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marco Rubio leads trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination at 31.5 percent amid a fragmented field, reflecting his elevated national profile as Secretary of State and established Senate experience that positions him as a versatile running-mate choice. Kristi Noem follows at 10.1 percent, buoyed by her prior executive roles and visibility on immigration enforcement, while John Thune and J.D. Vance trail with single-digit shares tied to Senate leadership and the sitting vice presidency, respectively. The wide dispersion stems from uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, with traders pricing in ticket-balancing needs, base loyalty signals, and potential consolidation around figures demonstrating broad electability or strong Trump-era alignment ahead of the 2028 convention.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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