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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?

紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?

20-39 80%

40-59 6%

120-139 4.3%

60-79 3.7%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 80%

40-59 6%

120-139 4.3%

60-79 3.7%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$36 交易量

1%

20-39

$750 交易量

80%

40-59

$83 交易量

6%

60-79

$61 交易量

4%

80-99

$343 交易量

1%

100-119

$186 交易量

1%

120-139

$176 交易量

4%

140-159

$125 交易量

1%

160-179

$186 交易量

2%

180-199

$66 交易量

1%

200+

$158 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani maintains a high but consistent posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account, averaging roughly four posts per day since taking office in January 2026. This pace, drawn from tracked weekly totals in prior resolution periods, has repeatedly produced counts in the 20-39 range and underpins the 80% trader consensus for the September 4–11 window. Activity centers on routine governance updates, public safety announcements, and community events, with modest elevation possible around the 9/11 remembrance period that falls inside the market’s timeframe. No structural shifts in account management, major breaking developments, or procedural changes have emerged in the past week that would push totals into higher brackets or suppress them below 20. Historical patterns from comparable seven-day stretches continue to anchor the implied probability at these levels.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,172
結束日期
2026-09-11
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani maintains a high but consistent posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account, averaging roughly four posts per day since taking office in January 2026. This pace, drawn from tracked weekly totals in prior resolution periods, has repeatedly produced counts in the 20-39 range and underpins the 80% trader consensus for the September 4–11 window. Activity centers on routine governance updates, public safety announcements, and community events, with modest elevation possible around the 9/11 remembrance period that falls inside the market’s timeframe. No structural shifts in account management, major breaking developments, or procedural changes have emerged in the past week that would push totals into higher brackets or suppress them below 20. Historical patterns from comparable seven-day stretches continue to anchor the implied probability at these levels.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,172
結束日期
2026-09-11
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 80%, followed by "40-59" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?" is "20-39" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年9月4日至9月11日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.