Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日武漢最低氣溫？
9月17日武漢最低氣溫？
14°C或以下 100%
17°C 96%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
100%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
96%
18°C
51%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
14°C或以下 100%
17°C 96%
15°C 19%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
96%
18°C
$21 交易量
51%
19°C
$264 交易量
<1%
20°C
$170 交易量
<1%
21°C
$75 交易量
<1%
22°C
$31 交易量
<1%
23°C
$36 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$32 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$630結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$630結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent weak cold air advection from the north, interacting with a high-altitude trough, has driven a sharp cooldown across the Yangtze River region, with official Wuhan forecasts projecting overnight lows near 19–21 °C amid widespread rain. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly winds limit radiative cooling while heavy precipitation periods further suppress the minimum by enhancing evaporative effects. Model runs show modest spread in rain timing and intensity, keeping the 18 °C and 19 °C thresholds nearly tied in trader pricing and leaving meaningful probability on 17 °C or lower outcomes. Updated local meteorological guidance expected later today will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions