Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Wuhan will see overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 23–26°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September in the Yangtze River basin, where high pressure and moderate humidity typically limit further drops. Trader consensus pricing the 19°C outcome highest at 55% implied probability likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day updates showing slightly enhanced clear-sky conditions overnight. Upcoming hourly observations through local midnight will provide the decisive data for resolution, with lower probabilities on 15°C or below consistent with the current warm advection pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日武漢最低氣溫？
9月13日武漢最低氣溫？
15°C或以下 90%
18°C 90%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
90%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
15°C或以下 90%
18°C 90%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
$1,230 交易量
$1,230 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
16°C
$0 交易量
18%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$34 交易量
90%
19°C
$317 交易量
-
20°C
$145 交易量
<1%
21°C
$126 交易量
<1%
22°C
$262 交易量
<1%
23°C
$316 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Wuhan will see overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 23–26°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September in the Yangtze River basin, where high pressure and moderate humidity typically limit further drops. Trader consensus pricing the 19°C outcome highest at 55% implied probability likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day updates showing slightly enhanced clear-sky conditions overnight. Upcoming hourly observations through local midnight will provide the decisive data for resolution, with lower probabilities on 15°C or below consistent with the current warm advection pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Wuhan will see overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 23–26°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September in the Yangtze River basin, where high pressure and moderate humidity typically limit further drops. Trader consensus pricing the 19°C outcome highest at 55% implied probability likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day updates showing slightly enhanced clear-sky conditions overnight. Upcoming hourly observations through local midnight will provide the decisive data for resolution, with lower probabilities on 15°C or below consistent with the current warm advection pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,230結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent observational data and ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Wuhan will see overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supporting a minimum temperature near 23–26°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September in the Yangtze River basin, where high pressure and moderate humidity typically limit further drops. Trader consensus pricing the 19°C outcome highest at 55% implied probability likely reflects model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day updates showing slightly enhanced clear-sky conditions overnight. Upcoming hourly observations through local midnight will provide the decisive data for resolution, with lower probabilities on 15°C or below consistent with the current warm advection pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions