**Forecast uncertainty for Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6 centers on variable spring frontal systems and wind patterns.** Official guidance from MetService-aligned sources and global models points to a daytime high near 13–14°C with a nighttime low of 8–10°C under mostly cloudy, showery conditions and strong northwest winds shifting southeast. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks or a colder southerly flow could push readings to 8°C or below. Conversely, milder advection or delayed frontal passage supports higher minima near or above 13°C. Ensemble spreads in temperature guidance create the observed market balance between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher tails, with mid-range outcomes like 13°C reflecting baseline climatology of 9–11°C September lows. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月6日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8°C或以下 69%
18°C或以上 69%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
69%
9°C
16%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
50%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C或以上
69%
8°C或以下 69%
18°C或以上 69%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
9°C
$0 交易量
16%
10°C
$0 交易量
50%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$44 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
50%
15°C
$0 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6 centers on variable spring frontal systems and wind patterns.** Official guidance from MetService-aligned sources and global models points to a daytime high near 13–14°C with a nighttime low of 8–10°C under mostly cloudy, showery conditions and strong northwest winds shifting southeast. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks or a colder southerly flow could push readings to 8°C or below. Conversely, milder advection or delayed frontal passage supports higher minima near or above 13°C. Ensemble spreads in temperature guidance create the observed market balance between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher tails, with mid-range outcomes like 13°C reflecting baseline climatology of 9–11°C September lows. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6 centers on variable spring frontal systems and wind patterns.** Official guidance from MetService-aligned sources and global models points to a daytime high near 13–14°C with a nighttime low of 8–10°C under mostly cloudy, showery conditions and strong northwest winds shifting southeast. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks or a colder southerly flow could push readings to 8°C or below. Conversely, milder advection or delayed frontal passage supports higher minima near or above 13°C. Ensemble spreads in temperature guidance create the observed market balance between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher tails, with mid-range outcomes like 13°C reflecting baseline climatology of 9–11°C September lows. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast uncertainty for Wellington's overnight minimum on September 6 centers on variable spring frontal systems and wind patterns.** Official guidance from MetService-aligned sources and global models points to a daytime high near 13–14°C with a nighttime low of 8–10°C under mostly cloudy, showery conditions and strong northwest winds shifting southeast. These winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks or a colder southerly flow could push readings to 8°C or below. Conversely, milder advection or delayed frontal passage supports higher minima near or above 13°C. Ensemble spreads in temperature guidance create the observed market balance between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher tails, with mid-range outcomes like 13°C reflecting baseline climatology of 9–11°C September lows. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions