**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月14日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
4°C或以下 54%
8°C 30%
11°C 30%
9°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
54%
5°C
15%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
30%
9°C
30%
10°C
23%
11°C
30%
12°C
10%
13°C
9%
14°C或以上
16%
4°C或以下 54%
8°C 30%
11°C 30%
9°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
54%
5°C
$0 交易量
15%
6°C
$0 交易量
21%
7°C
$0 交易量
22%
8°C
$0 交易量
30%
9°C
$0 交易量
30%
10°C
$0 交易量
23%
11°C
$0 交易量
30%
12°C
$0 交易量
10%
13°C
$0 交易量
9%
14°C或以上
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions