Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low will likely settle near 7°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and clear radiative cooling overnight, supporting the narrow market edge for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 4–6°C, but slight differences in timing of wind shifts or residual moisture could allow brief dips to 4°C or below before dawn, explaining the near-even split with the lower outcome. Historical September minima average 7°C, and current observations align closely with guidance, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月13日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
6°C 93%
4°C或以下 1.0%
5°C <1%
8°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
4°C或以下
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
93%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或更高
<1%
6°C 93%
4°C或以下 1.0%
5°C <1%
8°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
4°C或以下
$1 交易量
1%
5°C
$136 交易量
1%
6°C
$0 交易量
93%
7°C
$43 交易量
-
8°C
$152 交易量
<1%
9°C
$246 交易量
<1%
10°C
$399 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low will likely settle near 7°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and clear radiative cooling overnight, supporting the narrow market edge for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 4–6°C, but slight differences in timing of wind shifts or residual moisture could allow brief dips to 4°C or below before dawn, explaining the near-even split with the lower outcome. Historical September minima average 7°C, and current observations align closely with guidance, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$977結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low will likely settle near 7°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and clear radiative cooling overnight, supporting the narrow market edge for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 4–6°C, but slight differences in timing of wind shifts or residual moisture could allow brief dips to 4°C or below before dawn, explaining the near-even split with the lower outcome. Historical September minima average 7°C, and current observations align closely with guidance, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$977結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low will likely settle near 7°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and clear radiative cooling overnight, supporting the narrow market edge for that threshold. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 4–6°C, but slight differences in timing of wind shifts or residual moisture could allow brief dips to 4°C or below before dawn, explaining the near-even split with the lower outcome. Historical September minima average 7°C, and current observations align closely with guidance, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions